predicting worker outcomes

Perry E. Metzger (
Fri, 25 Jul 1997 11:11:20 -0400 (EDT)

I don't believe Robin's statistic about IQ being a better predictor of
outcomes than interviews, because I don't know how one can objectively
measure outcomes in the sort of environment I'm in, or how one can
control for the fact that some people are just plain much better at
interviewing and hiring than others. (I've noticed that certain
managers are notorious for making bad hiring decisions and that others
create very solid teams -- how does one control for that in a study?)

I do know this -- my own hiring decisions have almost always been
extremely solid, and although I have some small objective tests I use,
including some simple tests of things like reasoning skills, a lot of
it depends on how people react to my interview.