limits to growth

Anton Sherwood (
Thu, 3 Jul 1997 18:44:54 -0700

Carl Feynman writes, on the eventual breakdown of "Moore's Law"--
: The recent exponential increase in the cost of fabs to build each
: generation of chips is an alarming sign. [...] If this continues,
: in three generations, the cost of a single fab will exceed the
: quantity of capital that can be feasibly assembled into a single
: commercial venture (about 10 billion dollars).

Not wanting to sound like a boundless optimist, but --
What's the evidence for a $10 billion limit? Has someone
tried to raise $11 billion and failed with a great thud?

How is the limit affected by a change in gross product per capita?

Anton Sherwood *\\* +1 415 267 0685 *\\*