Re: Corporate Uploads Take Over

From: Robin Hanson (
Date: Fri Jul 14 2000 - 08:54:48 MDT

I wrote:
> Hardware and upload compilation will become cheap enough to
> profitably run uploads for lower than then-current wages when
> human labor is still highly valued (i.e., before strong AI),
> and substantially before most individuals can afford to
> non-destructively upload themselves.
>Given this premise, most first uploads would be corporate projects,
>and such uploads would have a first-mover advantage in filling niches.

Robert Bradbury wrote:
>I think the hardware becoming cheap enough to compete with humans
>will take a while. ... So any uploads will be competing with augmented
>humans which is going to make their operating costs and performance
>requirements even more difficult.

This seems to me a rather small issue compared with the others involved.
Almost all hardware so far and that I can envision that enhances the
productivity of humans will also enhance the productivity of uploads.

>To get the hardware "cheap enough", you need a driver for the research
>required to quickly advance the curve on what is likely to be highly special
>purpose hardware. ... I agree that uploads, especially if you can remove
>the consciousness, would make an ideal "killer app". ... At the same time
>it is going to be a very risky proposition until we have more fundamental
>knowledge on how the brain works. ...

All true, but all largely beside the point of the above premise/conclusion.
Either question the premise, question that the conclusion follows from the
premise, or accept the conclusion.

Robin Hanson
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

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