>
> Are you claiming that these are not in fact long shots, or that one
> should hide such facts from children for fear of discouraging them? I
> have no problem with people taking long shots, if they know that's
> what they are doing.
>
You missed my point. Are we talking statistics or are we discussing how I am
to raise my child?
Perhaps pursuit of a glorious career is a long shot for someone , who has
not the talent or perserverence.
You seem to claim it is a long shot for ANYONE to become a movie star.
I must point out, that for those who are already there, this a natural state.
I know a two "movie stars". ( No astronauts sorry). They are simply people
who put one foot in front of the other every day, like you and I, but aimed
in a certain direction