Re: Opinions as Evidence: Should Rational Bayesian Agents Commonize Priors

From: CurtAdams@aol.com
Date: Wed May 23 2001 - 09:19:23 MDT


In a message dated 5/23/01 5:26:08 AM, rhanson@gmu.edu writes:

>> You are correct and my statement was too strong. However, adding
variability
>> to post-conditionalization opinions will on average worsen disagreement, so
>> that won't serve to coordinate priors.
>
>Completely random changes might worsen disagreement, but changes toward
>a common prior would not.

But then the changes are predictable, and become bookable.



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