Re: Clueless Bio Futurists

From: Robin Hanson (
Date: Mon May 21 2001 - 08:08:14 MDT

Aleks Jakulin wrote:
> > The following futurist discussion seems completely
> > clueless to me. Humanity and its descendants will change
> > so fast that they will completely dominate changes in the
> > biosphere. Within a thousand years, there probably won't
> > be a substantial biosphere that we would recognize.
>To find clues, one must read the papers, not just the titles.
>One of the articles below states that it is useless to create small pockets of
>pristine "nature"
>... Even if all that might eventually be ditched, you do not want to ditch
>it before you already have better and working alternatives. Until then, the
>biosphere better be allowed to operate efficiently.

I agree that we are not yet ready to ditch the biosphere, and that
we should try to avoid it collapsing before we are ready. What I
think is clueless is trying to project the future of the biosphere
over the next few millions years. It'll be gone by then.

Robin Hanson
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

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