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Here is a problem that I left off my original post

because I thought that it was too similar to one of

the four. But maybe not. Possibly, it may clarify

the current discussion.

5. There are two cards in a hat: one is red on one side

and blue on the other side. The other is red on both

sides. You reach into a hat and select one of the

cards at random, and slap it down on the table. If a

red surface is now showing, what is the probability

that the other side is red?

Lee

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