**Next message:**Lee Corbin: "Re: I strongly disagree with Lee's answer"**Previous message:**Spike Jones: "Re: I strongly disagree with Lee's answer"**In reply to:**Lee Corbin: "Re: Primes and Probability"**Next in thread:**Spike Jones: "the unexpected hanging [was: lee's answer]"**Messages sorted by:**[ date ] [ thread ] [ subject ] [ author ]

*> Spike writes
*

*>
*

*> >Now calculate the cumulative probability of C+2 and C+4 prime,
*

*> >then C+6 also prime, and so on. What did you find out?
*

Lee Corbin wrote:

*> All I know is (1) one of C+2, C+4, C+6 is composite, so summing
*

*> the probability is going to start giving a funny result, (2) 1/lnx
*

*> is a rather poor approximation, and so summing it is doubly suspicious.
*

Thats right, but you started your sentence with "All I know is..." and

listed two truths, but in fact these are not all you know. I kinda tricked

you, since I started with having you randomly pick two primes {non-2

both}, multiply them to generate C. So you know that C is odd, as are

C+2 and C+4, etc, so the probability of prime approximation needs

to be adjusted accordingly. {8-]

Before I belabor this whole thing more than I already have on a list

that is not primarily about primes, let me just do this: I wish to put

together a paper on this topic which I have been thinking about way

too much for the past year, regarding predicting the next record prime,

then posting it on a website.

I wish to draw parallels between that concept and predicting the time of

the singularity, for oddly enough, both problems, predicting the

singularity

and predicting the next record prime, present similar paradoxes.

Unfortunately I dont expect I will have it ready by E5, because I

need to read The Fountainhead and Atlas Shrugged, plus study

Eliezer's latest work before then, otherwise I risk being left behind

in what promises to be the best discussions I will hear in this year.

spike

**Next message:**Lee Corbin: "Re: I strongly disagree with Lee's answer"**Previous message:**Spike Jones: "Re: I strongly disagree with Lee's answer"**In reply to:**Lee Corbin: "Re: Primes and Probability"**Next in thread:**Spike Jones: "the unexpected hanging [was: lee's answer]"**Messages sorted by:**[ date ] [ thread ] [ subject ] [ author ]

*
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b30
: Mon May 28 2001 - 10:00:05 MDT
*