Re: Y2K

mark@unicorn.com
Thu, 18 Feb 1999 09:46:44 -0800 (PST)

Peter C. McCluskey [pcm@rahul.net] wrote:
>I expect that about 50 million people in the U.S. will withdraw about $1000
>each in December, and that the system can handle that without major
>disruptions.

I think an awful lot will depend on how many problems we see before then. If life continues as normal and all big companies and government agencies announce compliance, then you're probably right. If organizations start to fail badly before then and others admit they're not going to be finished in time, the situation will be very different.

I don't expect anything serious to happen until late this year... and if it's bad it will get bad very quickly, as organizations can no longer pretend that they're going to work next year and the bad news comes out in a flood. If nothing serious has happened by early December then I'll be much happier about sitting back and expecting things to work... but I don't expect that to be the case.

Mark