Re: REVIEW: Kurzweil talk

Russell W. Craig (
Sun, 24 Jan 1999 18:39:40 -0600

Would some of these limiting factors be the ability to recoup the costs of creating the increased computing power? I assume now that certain advances in computing power are left on the market long enough to be profitable before the next level is introduced. wrote:In any case, these kinds of extrapolations are worthless, in my opinion.

> The fact is that we face significant technological challenges in trying
> to maintain these rates through the next two decades. Virtually every
> technology of the past has gone through periods of exponential growth,
> only to reach some limiting factor. I expect the same thing to happen
> to electronics, in the pre-nanotech era.
> Hal