I think there's room for cautious...dynamic!...optimism. UIs do get
gradually nicer. Software that does sensible and useful things comes out
a little at a time. Hey, with a little prompting people could adopt Java
and maybe some good simple security models and get rid of a layer of OS
and mega-app stupidity. I paid $300 for the (used) color laptop with
built-in modem that I'm working on. Hopeful signs, I mean.
I think there's an argument that in general, the more advanced an economy,
the *easier* it is to get involved in. The most "advanced" people are
pushing diminishing returns, and all the tools (& economies of scale)
that are mass-produced to help them do that are even more useful to the
"have nots". Okay maybe not *air tight*, but it's an *argument*, all right?
[Btw, just thought of a really nasty quip about "post-scarcity":
Post-scarcity is an idea thought up by people who don't understand
economics and hope that the singularity will save them from having to!]
Another way of looking at it is, if this stuff is so confusing to learn,
it's not very "advanced," is it? I don't think so. It's actually another
reassuring sign, that after watching a couple decades of apocalyptic hype,
you start to notice that things change at a rather leisurely pace after
all! After a while, massive stupidity impedes its own advance.
I'm another "bleeding heart transhumanist" for whom clarity for people is
one of the most important goals I can see this side of the singularity.
--Steve
-- sw@tiac.net Steve Witham web page under reconsideration "At the latter I was informal, at the former I wore my suit, I wore my swimming suit." --Kate & Anna McGarrigle