Re: Skeptics and extropians

From: Eugene Leitl (
Date: Mon Jan 21 2002 - 12:53:23 MST

On Mon, 21 Jan 2002, John Clark wrote:

> destroy itself in any given year? Nobody has a clue, the trouble is we
> have only one example and it's hard to derive accurate statistics from
> just one sample.

It is worse than just one sample: it's the bias by the observer observing
itself. This gives you basically just that this is possible, but does not
attach any probability to how possible.

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