RE: near-term processing power growth

From: Ramez Naam (
Date: Fri Feb 11 2000 - 17:40:10 MST

From: William Kitchen []
> TI is projecting DSP chips capable of three trillion
> instructions/second by 2010. I'm not sure if that will be
> achieved by pure sequential clock speed or by other tricks, but
> either way it will be pretty impressive if they can really
> accomplish it.

If TI really delivers this in 2010, it will be a 30x speed up in 10 years,
which would be 2 years earlier than expected. More realistically this
project will slip (as all large scale computing projects do) by a year or
two. Move the timeline out to 11 or 12 years, and this is right on the
projected curve.

Again, I fail to see strong evidence of deviation from an 18 month doubling
time of computing power.

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