Hmmm. While this may differ from the SIA roadmap (which I haven't seen),
it does not seem to differ from Moore's law.
Given that today's top end processors are running 750Mhz, and that Moore's
law calls for roughly a 60% performance increase each year, one would
project 3Ghz processors in 2003 and nearly 5Ghz processors in 2004.
Also, as a computer scientist I find it customary and realistic to buffer
near-term product release dates by a factor of 50%. (Though in this case it
sounds like IBM may already have done the proper buffering.)
From: Robert J. Bradbury
> Hot news for the day: IBM announces 3-4 GHz processors should
> be available in 3-4 years. I'll simply note that this is
> more than *DOUBLE* the rate projected in the SIA roadmap!
> Step by step, the singularity (picture the big Rock Creature
> from Galaxy Quest) takes huge strides down the Texas highway....
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jul 27 2000 - 14:03:38 MDT