Re: >H Re: transhuman-digest V1 #562

From: Bryan Moss (
Date: Sun Jan 09 2000 - 12:20:57 MST

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote:

> So, given that there's also a 50% chance that the Powers
> are nice guys,

If we're going to be simplistic (and I don't think we have
much choice) there's a 33% chance that the Powers are nice
guys, 33% chance that they're indifferent, and a 33% chance
that they're bad guys. The space of indifference (towards
us, a tiny spec in this cosmos) is far greater than the
space of good or bad, thus more appropriate (although still
conservative) figures might be 10% good, 80% indifferent,
and 10% bad. With indifference we're very likely to be used
for spare atoms, I'm going to say 90% likely. Thus we have
an ~82%+ chance of Bad Stuff happening.


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