RE: Energy shortage

From: Emlyn O'regan (oregan.emlyn@healthsolve.com.au)
Date: Thu Aug 28 2003 - 01:35:42 MDT

  • Next message: Robert J. Bradbury: "Re: Energy shortage"

    > In all the discussion of alternate and renewable
    > energy sources, the problem of energy storage is
    > brought out. A quiet assumption runs thru all
    > the discussion that I have seen, the assumption
    > that the price of electricity must remain nearly
    > constant. Do think about this however. Energy
    > supplies may be controlled by allowing the price
    > of power at any given time to float to whatever
    > levels necessary to reduce demand. On sunny,
    > blowy days, the actual price of energy might fall
    > to practically nothing, whereas it might be very
    > expensive on dark still days, when the power would
    > be supplied by expensive peaker plants.
    >
    > By insisting that power prices be nearly constant
    > *we all pay more* since peaker plants are costly
    > to operate and produce very pricy power part time,
    > which the market mandates to be sold at the same
    > price as non-peak power, and the supply must always be
    > sufficient to cover the demand. Result: everyone's
    > total power bill is higher than they would be if
    > we would collectively tolerate wildly fluctuating
    > prices and occasional shortages.
    >
    > If power were to be sold at the real-time price
    > it costs to make it, then the proletariat would
    > adjust its collective behavior, charging batteries
    > when power is cheap, and turning off the air
    > conditioners when power is expensive.
    >
    > spike

    That's a sensible sounding suggestion, but we (consumers) don't have enough
    information to make it work. I've watched power prices fluctuate when I was
    working in a power station, and I've seen them temporarily increase by a
    factor of 60 at extreme times.

    For consumers to be able to weather true deregulation, we need to be able to
    know the price at any moment. Maybe a website would be ok, except you need
    to use power to access it :-) I'm not sure how to deliver this information,
    but the alternative is that you consume a product whose price is entirely
    unknown to you (and currently unknowable I think, in realtime), and which
    can move so quickly and extremely that you could be severely disadvantaged
    (wiped out maybe!) by normal market fluctuations.

    Emlyn



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