RE: Senators Denounce Policy Analysis Markets

From: Robin Hanson (rhanson@gmu.edu)
Date: Wed Jul 30 2003 - 03:43:05 MDT

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    At 02:36 PM 7/30/2003 +0930, Emlyn O'regan wrote:
    >Can the policy analysis market work without DARPA funding/backing? Is there
    >some reason that a private entity couldn't create & run it?

    DARPA backing made it easier to overcome legal hurdles, but sufficiently
    motivated private entities could overcome those as well. The idea of
    an information market is that someone wants to know something, so they
    create markets on the questions that interest them. The DoD is by far
    the biggest customer around that wants to know about military and political
    events in the middle east, so it will be hard to find a customer to replace
    them for that product. But the basic technology can be applied in many
    other areas, including corporate governance (which ad agency should we
    hire, which product should we introduce, should we merge, and so on).

    Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
    Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University
    MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
    703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323



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