From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (sentience@pobox.com)
Date: Mon Jul 07 2003 - 23:19:10 MDT
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote:
> In front of me is one barrel containing 25 red tokens and 75 blue
> tokens, and another barrel containing 75 red tokens and 75 blue tokens.
> I select a barrel at random (i.e., by flipping a fair coin). Sampling a
> random token with replacement, you observe the following sequence of draws:
AAARRGGGHHH!
*One* barrel containing 25 red tokens and 75 blue tokens, and one barrel
containing 75 red tokens and ****25**** blue tokens.
I don't understand how my eyes managed to skip over that, especially after
I went back specifically and inspected for errors. It's even stranger
that Mitch saw the same thing I did.
Oh well... Paris in the spring.
-- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
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