RE: Global Warming: Dead Letter

From: Mike Lorrey (mlorrey@yahoo.com)
Date: Sun May 25 2003 - 22:10:06 MDT

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    --- Harvey Newstrom <mail@HarveyNewstrom.com> wrote:
    > > I hereby declare Global Warming to be a dead issue. See the
    > > following: http://www.spacedaily.com/news/climate-03q.html
    >
    > Actually, this is a mixed bag. They actually confirmed global
    > warming and conceded that it was probably caused by humans, and
    > then calculated that it was occurring at a slower rate than
    > previously thought. Pro-global-warmists will hype this as
    > confirmation of their theory, while anti-global-warmists will
    > hype this as refutation of their theory. In reality, it is a
    > mixture of both, with the truth somewhere in-between.

    The problem with this conclusion is that the previous estimate, which
    was significantly larger (by several times) than the observations
    contained in this study, acknowledged that somewhere between 1/4 to 1/3
    of that estimated change was entirely due to earth orbital and solar
    dynamical causes, and not anthropic in nature. Since this acknowledged
    naturally caused portion is larger than the observed reality, then it
    is logical to conclude that ALL of the observed reality is entirely due
    to non-human causes, and that the earth's ecosphere is stable,
    independent of what we are capable of doing to it at this point in
    time.

    One of the problems with all of these luddite studies is that they all
    ignore the diminishing returns nature of CO2 content in the atmosphere
    (that every 1% increase in CO2 content causes a reduced amount of
    warming, eventually levelling off), and that at our current atmospheric
    density and volume, the Earth is incapable of experiencing a runaway
    greenhouse effect without a rather noticable increase in solar flux
    levels over a significant period, or unless we decide to burn up not
    only all the methane hydrates under the ocean, but start to burn up the
    limestone that undergirds our continental structure.

    =====
    Mike Lorrey
    "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils."
                                                        - Gen. John Stark
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