Re: Paper>YOUR NUKES WILL BE DESTROYED!

From: Damien Sullivan (phoenix@ugcs.caltech.edu)
Date: Mon May 12 2003 - 15:27:33 MDT

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    On Mon, May 12, 2003 at 01:45:48PM -0700, Michael M. Butler wrote:

    > FWIW, the above URL did not work for me. But a search at the front door of

    Me neither. But
    http://arxiv.org/abs/hep-ph/0305062

    Note upfront they do say "this is very futuristic" and
    | We also note that a 1000 TeV machine requires the accelerator circumference
    | of the order of 1000 km with the magnets of ~ 10 Tesla which is totally
    | ridiculous.

    A cynic might view the whole thing as a bid for more neutrino research
    funding.

    > (they guesstimate a monetary cost of 100 billion dollars for the beam
    > machine and a power expended of 50 gigawatts for many seconds per bomb).

    > would make easier (sitting) targets. You could conceivably also degrade a
    > standing inventory of yellowcake if you thought it was worth the effort

    Yellowcake?

    > I swear I am not making this up: The writers promote a world government
    > *and* claim that this device would not be used as a weapon because it would
    > cost too much.

    Whereas I think the US could easily spend $100 bn on a proven nukebuster.

    But how do you aim it with 1m accuracy? And submarines have got to move
    faster than 1m/second, which makes them immune, assuming you can find them,
    which is pretty questionable in itself.

    > So the entire scenario would seem to be: some centralized authority has
    > control of the beam machine and its power supply, something like a GIS-
    > coded map of all the authorized concentrations of fissionables, the ability
    > and will to remotely probe elsewhere with the beam plus the ability to
    > decode resultant fission product signatures from any place on Earth, and
    > the ability and will to fry any unexepected concentrations--unless they
    > just feel like frying people. Oh, heck, we have the power budgeted already,
    > let's just scan the whole Earth once a year. Good training for the boys.
    >
    > Gee, I want *that* job. </sarcasm>

    Hey, it's the Peace Authority!

    More realistically, the US could use it to zap 3rd world proliferation bombs,
    without threatening Russian subs. I assume the Russians have SLBMs. (Haven't
    seen that acronym in a long time!) Unless they build it first and mess up our
    reactors. Oh wait, $100 billion. Never mind.

    *More* realistically, the whole thing is a fizzle.

    -xx- Damien X-)



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