Re: A simple betting problem

From: Lee Daniel Crocker (lee@piclab.com)
Date: Fri May 02 2003 - 12:01:09 MDT

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    > (Lee Corbin <lcorbin@tsoft.com>):
    > The entire exchange between Eliezer and me concerning this
    > puzzle can be found at
    >
    > http://www.extropy.org/exi-lists/extropians.2Q01/4215.html
    >
    > I contend that statisticians tend to answer one way, and
    > mathematicians the other.

    If you want to know the best answer to a probability question,
    don't ask a mathematician or a statistician--ask a gambler.
    A gambler would understand immediately that the answer to this
    problem depends on the motivations and methods of the one making
    the offer, just as the Monte Hall problem does, and would come
    up with both answers. 

    -- 
Lee Daniel Crocker <lee@piclab.com> <http://www.piclab.com/lee/>
"All inventions or works of authorship original to me, herein and past,
are placed irrevocably in the public domain, and may be used or modified
for any purpose, without permission, attribution, or notification."--LDC

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