RE: my objection to the Doomsday argument

From: Harvey Newstrom (mail@HarveyNewstrom.com)
Date: Tue Apr 29 2003 - 20:58:18 MDT

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    gts wrote,
    > Rafal Smigrodzki wrote:
    > > The Doomsday argument tries to wring too much knowledge out of too
    > > little data, and is for the time being still completely useless.
    >
    > I tend to agree with this statement of yours, Rafal, though I still enjoy
    > the puzzle when I'm not too wrapped up in other mental diversions.
    >
    > Extropians really ought to be puzzling over the problem of world hunger,
    > space colonization, or some other such thing.
    >
    > If all humans were to accept the DA argument for imminent
    > doomsday then the
    > DA would become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Progress would halt. Despair
    > would prevail. The species would fall. Proponents of DA would have been in
    > the right, but so what?

    I agree totally! We don't have enough information to give up hope. The
    Doomsday argument extrapolates from zero knowledge and tries to predict the
    future. Instead of predicting the future, we should make the future!

    --
    Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, IAM, GSEC, IBMCP
    <www.HarveyNewstrom.com> <www.Newstaff.com>
    


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