Re: Help with a Minimum Wage Model

From: Hal Finney (hal@finney.org)
Date: Thu Apr 10 2003 - 10:55:22 MDT

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    Samantha writes:
    > Are you going to attempt to say that the cost of living in say
    > 1970 dollars has not risen and risen dramatically in the last 32
    > years?

    The issue is not the cost of living by itself, but the cost of living
    compared to income. Both have increased due to inflation.

    The way to get an objective measure is to use constant dollars.
    These are dollars adjusted by the consumer price index, which reflects
    price changes in a typical package of consumer expenditures. The CPI
    takes into consideration increases in costs of food and housing, as well
    as clothing and the other things that people spend money on.

    So what your question boils down to is, has per-capita personal income,
    measured in constant dollars, increased since 1970? Luckily, the answer
    is easy to find. Looking at the Statistical Abstract of the United
    States, at http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/01statab/income.pdf,
    table 647 shows per capita income in both current (i.e. the currency of
    the time) and constant dollars.

    In then-current dollars, per capita income rose from $4,101 to $30,069
    from 1970 to 2000. Applying the inflation factor vs constant 1996 dollars
    (not shown in the table but it can be calculated from other columns as
    3.44 for 1970 and 0.94 for 2000) gives a constant-dollar per capita
    income increase from $14,114 in 1970 to $28,121 in 2000. Per capita
    income has roughly doubled during the time period when inflation is
    taken into consideration.

    In other words, the cost of living for a typical family is about half
    as much today, relative to their income, as it was in 1970, just the
    opposite of what you claimed.

    Hal



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