RE: Teaching Bayesian inference in 2 hours

From: Rafal Smigrodzki (rms2g@virginia.edu)
Date: Fri Jan 31 2003 - 07:39:59 MST


Lee Corbin wrote:

>
> So you say that you use natural frequencies (e.g. "eight in ten")
> rather than using probabilities ".8" or "80%", and you believe that
> this affects your thinking?
>
> I have been very interested in probability and probability problems
> for more decades than is pleasant to contemplate. I would have
> supposed that for me there could be no possible difference. But if
> it's really true that there is a difference, I naturally would like
> to change my mental habits.
>
> Do you think that this holds also for people used to probability
> problems?
>
### Probably not. I think this is just a mental crutch that I use because of
my insufficient training in mathematics.

Rafal



This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.5 : Sun Feb 02 2003 - 21:26:04 MST