Damien Broderick wrote:
> Transhuman Mailing List > > http://cnn.com/ASIANOW/asiaweek/99/0820/cs2.html > > Arthur's timescale for nano is rather conservative, but it worries me more > (as I've said before) that he continues to places credence in `cold fusion' > (even giving Pons and Fleischman a Nobel in a few years). Or does he, after > all, know something we don't...?
Jonathan Post and I have discussed this very topic. Neithe of us thinks ACC has any special knowledge about 'cold fusion', nor about tapping the vacuum energy. Example: a claim that Siberians are already using cold fusion reactors as home heating does not have any supporting evidence.
"the 21st century
BEYOND 2001"By Arthur C. Clarke
[[My commentary in these brackets:]]
"In spite of the temptation, I have omitted many interesting and all-too-possible disasters, because optimism about the future is always desirable; it may help to create a self-fulfilling prophecy.
[[Oth, talking about it now may help prevent it, by being forewarned.]]
2002 The first commercial device producing clean, safe power by low-temperature nuclear reactions goes on the market, heralding the end of the Fossil-Fuel Age. Economic and geopolitical earthquakes follow, and, for their discovery of so-called "Cold Fusion" in 1989, Pons and Fleischmann receive the Nobel Prize for Physics.
[[I do not think this is a viable prospect- at all.]]
2006 The world's last coal mine closed in India.
[[Coal deposits comprise the largest segment of easily obtainable
petrochemical resourses on Earth. They will be mined until they run out, or until space resourses are cheaper, maybe by 2040.]]
2009 A city in North Korea is devastated by the accidental explosion of an A-bomb. After a brief debate in the U.N., all nuclear weapons are destroyed. [[2001 A city in the US is devastated by a blackmarket nuclear device that rode in on a sailboat.* Martial law is declared.
*Confession: I smuggled two cases of BC Grower's Apple Cider (Medium) into the US on a low-observable sailboat in the early 1980's. The payload mass was of the same order as a physics package.]]
2010 The first Quantums Generators (tapping space energy) are developed. Available in portable and household units from a few kilowatts upward, they can produce electricity indefinitely. Central power stations close down; the age of pylons ends as grid systems are dismantled.
[[2010 In spite of EFF, ACLU, Amnesty International, BB and Little Brother
domestic and international communications using intelligent dictionaries, AI correlators,
ubiquitous microtech surveillance.
Professional criminals run the government.]]
2014 Construction of Hilton Orbiter Hotel begins, by assembling and converting the giant Shuttle tanks which had previously been allowed tofall back to Earth.
[[2004 The Shuttle has finally been killed for good, ushering in a new era of
2016 All existing currencies are abolished. The megawatt-hour becomes the
unit of exchange.
[[2011 All existing currencies are inflated into oblivion. Gold resumes its
2017 December 16. On his 100th birthday, Sir ArthurClarke is
guests in the Hilton Orbiter.
[[I dearly hope this come about.]]
[[2017 The various states that used comprise China stop nuking each other.]]
2020 Artificial Intelligence (AI) reaches the human level. >From now onward there are two intelligent species on Planet Earth, oneevolving far
biology would ever permit. Interstellar probes carrying AIs are launched toward the nearer stars.
[[2020 AO (artificial organisms) merged with ex-humans, create a
new, post-biological vocabulary is required.]]
2021 The first humans land on Mars, and have some unpleasantsurprises.
[[2015 The first cyborgs arrive to claim Mars, Earth has some unpleasant
2057 October 4. Centennial of Sputnik 1.
[[2057 There are no more numerologists or Christians.]]
The dawn of the space age is celebrated by humans not only on Earth, but on the Moon,Mars,
Ganymede and Titan - and in orbit round Venus, Neptune andPluto.
2095 The development of a true "space drive" - a propulsion system reacting against the structure of space time - makes the rocket obsolete and permits velocities close to that of light. The first human explorers set off to nearby star systems that robot probes have already found promising.
[[2095 There are no more "humans".]]
-- Forrest Bishop Manager, Interworld Productions, LLC Chairman, Institute of Atomic-Scale Engineering http://www.speakeasy.org/~forrestb