Re: Buchanan Palm Beach Statistics

From: Spike Jones (spike66@ibm.net)
Date: Mon Nov 13 2000 - 21:07:13 MST


CurtAdams@aol.com wrote:

> Impressive that he could get this out so fast. I note in
> http://elections.fas.harvard.edu/node3.html
> that this isn't the only really outrageous Buchanan outlier, just the only
> only one that would make a difference.

Curt, this is not intended as a criticism of you in any way,
but this anaysis is in my opinion completely bogus and
irrelevant. They calculated the predictor of expected
Buchanan votes by the number of Nader votes! The
reasoning there is quite fautly, and there is no reason
whatsoever the number of Nader fans should be used to
calculate the probability of a Buchanan vote in Florida.

Recall that Nader was one of those promoting the idea
of spending billlllions and billlllions of dollars to convert
the Everglades reclaimed farmland back into a god-forsaken
swamp, and also recall that Pam Beach county is not so
far from the Everglades. Where are the other handful of
Florida counties that were more Pro_Buchanan than
Palm Beach? spike



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