John Clark writes:
>>There seems to be something about social aspects of the future that
>>makes ordinarily careful people get sloppy.
>
>I think everybody is a bit sloppy when talking about social science
>because nobody knows much about it ...
In your case it seems the source is your belief that no one knows much about social science. This to you excuses ignoring requests for some analysis in defense of your claim that "there will be a 20 year stretch of time during which the world will change beyond recognition."
Robin Hanson
hanson@econ.berkeley.edu http://hanson.berkeley.edu/
RWJF Health Policy Scholar, Sch. of Public Health 510-643-1884
140 Warren Hall, UC Berkeley, CA 94720-7360 FAX: 510-643-8614