Re: technological acc3leration?

From: Anders Sandberg (asa@nada.kth.se)
Date: Fri Sep 07 2001 - 15:49:10 MDT


On Fri, Sep 07, 2001 at 10:25:55AM -0700, Tim Maroney wrote:
> So, I've given it some time, and so far I have not been pointed to any
> quantitative sources on the reported overall technological acceleration.
>
> I don't know whether this means that there are no such sources, but it does
> appear to mean that those here who believe in this acceleration have taken
> it as an article of faith, rather than on empirical or reproducible grounds.

There is plenty of quantitative data for various things increasing, but
it is 1) heavy to dig through (you have to actually got to the library,
rather than just read the net) and 2) open to multiple interpretations
(what does really the number of patents per year measure?). I think our
discussion have shown that it might not be very interesting to look at
such data, but rather at more careful analysises.

-- 
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Anders Sandberg                                      Towards Ascension!
asa@nada.kth.se                            http://www.nada.kth.se/~asa/
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