Re: Less than 10 years?

From: Zero Powers (zero_powers@hotmail.com)
Date: Wed Aug 23 2000 - 23:56:10 MDT


>From: "John Clark" <jonkc@worldnet.att.net>

>Eliezer S. Yudkowsky <sentience@pobox.com> Wrote:
>
> > I moved my estimate from 2030 to 2020 to 2010
>
>Less than 10 years? I'd be surprised if it was that soon, but then,whenever
>it does come
>it will be as a big surprise to most, otherwise it wouldn't be a
>singularity.

Granted I'm not on the "front lines" or anything (heck I ain't even on the
battlefield), but the more I read the less optimistic I become. My current
estimate is circa '40.

-Zero

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