Re: Coordinating Sex Roles

Robin Hanson (
Mon, 7 Apr 1997 13:47:28 -0700 (PDT) writes:
>Well, discussion would help, but discussion is generally with highly selected
>groups. You'd want people to know what other people, in the aggregate, are
>deciding, and surveys are far better for that.

Yes you want wide participation in the discussion, but surveys are not
necessily better. Consider the wide use of "focus groups" in marketing.

>Another big problem with forecasting or discussion is that people often
>change their minds about what they want. It's difficult for a 20-year-old in
>college who's never worked anything more than part-time casual work and who's
>never had a significant relationship or children (an awful lot of
>20-year-olds these days) to really have any good idea what they will want at

Yes, but our predictions about aggregates may be better than our
predictions about individuals.

>Surveying, planning, and discussion are all good things, but even
>ideal application of the above (unlikely) will leave us with a lot of

This is hard to argue with.

Robin D. Hanson