Re: tech miracles of the year 2000 as seen from 1950

From: Eugene Leitl (Eugene.Leitl@lrz.uni-muenchen.de)
Date: Mon May 14 2001 - 02:55:07 MDT


On Mon, 14 May 2001, Anders Sandberg wrote:

> Hence we better be more cautious about the near future and
> the speed various transforming technologies appear, while our wild far
> future extrapolations might be too *mild*.

I do not see as "absolutely incomprehensible and unpredictable to
us-current, but within the constraints of the physical laws, but not
necessarily as we know them" can be seen as "too mild".

It's less a prediction than an admission that we can't make a prediction,
and hence shouldn't.



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