Less More Moderate Lifespan improvement

From: Robert Bradbury (bradbury@genebee.msu.su)
Date: Fri Jun 16 2000 - 06:20:25 MDT

On Thu, 15 Jun 2000, Robin Hanson wrote:

> A USA lifespan of over 85 in 2050 would require a substantial
> deviation from historical trends. Optimists be warned!
As Alan Kay is reported to have said --
  "The best way to predict the future is to create it."

A pragmatic optimist verifies that people are making the progress
required to make historical trends a questionable basis for
future predictions (at least if they are going to be 94 in
2050...), and if ve doesn't find it, sets out to fix that problem.


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