Have you ever been in a bank when the computer was down? I have. They
absolutely refused to give me my money. Legal threats were of no use.
They really have no mechanism to issue cash or record transactions without
the computer. Even if they did have a method, they would probably be too
scared to use it. If their computer goes down on January 2, 2000, I doubt
they could handle it. Even if they had paper transactions, it would be
much slower and there would be more mistakes.
Businesses that are not ready will fail. Not because alternatives aren't
available, but because customers will simply switch to other businesses
that are functional. Would any customer go to a gas station that can't
accept your pay-at-the-pump card, when the one across the street can?
Would any customer go to a grocery store where they can't use their debit
card, when the store down the street can? The first trip to a business
where the customer is sent away empty-handed because the business can't
handle the transaction, would be enough to turn off most customers. I
think this perception of poor business practices will kill most businesses
that are not ready.
-- Harvey Newstrom <mailto: harv@gate.net> PGP 5.5 Fingerprint F746 7A20 EB7D 27BA 80A5 4473 D8E1 6A54 1EB0 56F7 PGP Public Key available from <http://pgpkeys.mit.edu:11371>