Re: Predicting the Future
Dwayne (dwayne@ozdocs.net.au)
Sat, 3 Jan 1998 12:47:27 +1100 (EST)
Hi,
> I=92ve just finished reading 3001: The Final Odyssey, which attempts to
> present a world 1003 years from now. Arthur C. Clarke fails
> admirably, but one line will stand out to anyone even vaguely familiar
> with the singularity =96 =93Certainly, the people of 2001 who you were
> just watching would not feel as utterly overwhelmed in our age as
> someone from 1001 would have felt in theirs.=94 This comes from a 3001
> new-millennium celebration television show. If progress is truly
> exponential a person from 2001 transported to 3001 would several
> billion times more overwhelmed than a person transported from 1001 to
> 2001.
maybe, but you've also got to realise that we are familiar with change, and
to some extent comfotable with it. Back in 1001 change just didn't come
along all that often.
We *expect* things to be wildly different 1,000 years from now, but they
didn't.
> --Wax
> It may be bullshit, but it's inspired bullshit
Good sig.
Dwayne.
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dwayne
ddraig@pobox.com
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