From: Samantha Atkins (samantha@objectent.com)
Date: Sat Jan 26 2002 - 15:55:10 MST
Robert J. Bradbury wrote:
>
>>Conclusion: 2006 is a guess, but it is not completely ridiculous.>>
>
> No, certainly not. But I think getting a smooth fit to the
> curve seems to require either a late start (lots of underutilized
> resources available) or robust technologies that allow compiling
> matter as software.
>
Of all the curves we care about the software curve is the
nearest to flat in terms of actual advances and production of
high-quality tools. In my opinion, it will be software that is
the most significant technological bottleneck to Singularity.
So "compiling matter as software" may not be the good news and
certainly not a panacea considering the poor state of software
today.
- samantha
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