From: J. R. Molloy (jr@shasta.com)
Date: Fri Jan 18 2002 - 00:20:42 MST
Robot stars 'will be the top earners by 2010'
By 2010, the world's highest earning actor, pop star or model will be a
synthetic "celeb-bot", whose looks, voice and personality are generated by
computers.
At the same time, a quarter of the faces seen on television will become
completely synthetic as artificial celebrities become cheaper, and more
watchable, than real-life presenters.
The predictions appear in a new report from BT's research and technology
laboratories, BT Exact Technologies, compiled by Ian Pearson, one of Britain's
leading futurologists.
...machines will be smart enough to pass a GCSE exam by 2006, with A levels
following the year after.
A computer will be able to take a degree by 2013 and a PhD by 2015. The first
artificial intelligence Nobel Prize winner will be in 2018.
By 2015, machines will show human-like creativity, while machine knowledge
will exceed human knowledge by 2017.
In 2020, electronic life will be given basic rights. By 2030, robots will be
physically and mentally superior to people.
Full text:
http://portal.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml;$sessionid$PFXFBXAAAAWTDQFIQMFCF
FWAVCBQYIV0?xml=/news/2002/01/18/nceleb18.xml&sSheet=/portal/2002/01/18/por_ri
ght.html
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Useless hypotheses, etc.:
consciousness, phlogiston, philosophy, vitalism, mind, free will, qualia,
analog computing, cultural relativism, GAC, Cyc, Eliza, cryonics, individual
uniqueness, ego, human values, scientific relinquishment, malevolent AI,
non-sensory experience, SETI
We move into a better future in proportion as the scientific method
accurately identifies incorrect thinking.
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