At 12:57 PM 3/27/2000 -0500, you wrote:
>In a message dated 3/27/00 7:56:16 AM Pacific Standard Time, rhanson@gmu.edu
>cites:
>
> > "Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality"
> > Ronald D. Lee, Lawrence R. Carter
> > Journal of the American Statistical Association,
> > Vol. 87, No. 419. (Sep., 1992), pp. 659-671.
>
>That's 8 years ago. Has anybody checked the accuracy of
>the predictions since?
Probably but I don't know about it. You could
probably do it yourself if you were willing to
hunt around for age-specific total US death rates at
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss.htm .
Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323
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