On Sun, 27 Feb 2000 firstname.lastname@example.org wrote:
> [snip] Re: Lifespan projections...
> Obviously there has been considerable variation in the longevity rate
> figure from year to year and from decade to decade. The trend has not
> been very stable. Generally we have been in the .1 to .3 range for the
> last several decades. At this point it looks to me like we would need
> a major new breakthrough to start this figure heading up towards 1.0.
Some of the variation caused by murder & accident rate changes.
I think the '70's and '80's were fairly violent (young, impulsive
baby boomer's perhaps???).
The key breakthroughs we need are:
- reduce cancer mortality
(looks like we get that with angiogenesis inhibitors)
- general replacement organs (next 10 years or so)
- drugs to inhibit brain damage during strokes/heart attacks
- reversing protein glycosylation damage (drugs undergoing tests now)
- a good understanding of all growth factors (5-10 years)
- understanding the molecular biology of aging (5-15 years)
- understanding the causes for and developing cures for genetic diseases
- Safer cars, guns & other hazards (ongoing).
- Nanomedicine (20-30 years)
- Weather control (???)
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jul 27 2000 - 14:04:16 MDT